Joseph's Gems 2026: Raw Ore

No blue-chip guarantees — just a class lacking clarity, forcing teams to trust their board.

It’s Draft Week!!!! And somewhere out there, a handful of Packers mock draft “gurus” are itching to prove how right they are — and how wrong the front office is. But I’m not so sure there aren’t a few people inside 1265 Lombardi Avenue thinking the same thing. Because when it comes to this class, I wouldn’t be surprised if there are some heated exchanges when the clock starts ticking. Not over effort. Not over talent. Over projection. Because more often than not, the phrase attached to this class is simple:

“That’s a hell of a projection.”

This 2026 class is roughshod. There’s no real future All-Pro you can point to, no franchise-altering prospect that makes you feel comfortable at the top. Even the projected No. 1 overall pick, Fernando Mendoza, probably lands somewhere around QB4 or QB6 in stronger classes from years past. You’ve got depth — just not always where you want it. To go back to the steak rating I stamped a few years ago, this class is Tri-Tip. It’s flavorful, it’ll get the job done… but I’ll be damned if I’m paying $19.99 a pound for it. Even in this economy. And that’s the name of the game this year: how do you land good talent without overpaying? Because this board is going to be all over the place. The first round could get chaotic in a hurry. This isn’t a clean “best player available” draft — not even for teams starving for talent. Fit is going to matter more than usual. Projection is going to matter more than usual. Find a guy with measurables and real production? Now you’re talking. And when that happens, don’t be surprised if teams start leapfrogging each other in a hurry trying to secure “their guy.” This is the kind of draft where one conviction can move an entire board. GMs are going to lose their minds when they give up a fifth, only to get jumped by a team that packaged a fifth and a conditional 2027 Day 3 pick to move up two spots ahead of them.

And for a team like the Green Bay Packers, that’s where things get interesting.

Because if there’s one thing this front office has never been afraid of, it’s betting on traits. They’ve lived in that space for years — trusting their board, trusting their development, and letting the rest of the league chase consensus. This kind of class doesn’t scare them. If anything, it plays right into their hands. But that doesn’t mean it’s easy. Because projection cuts both ways. You hit on the right guy, you look like a genius. You miss? Now you’ve spent premium capital on a player who might need two years just to see the field. And in a class like this, the margin for error feels a little thinner.

That’s why this week matters.

This isn’t about finding the obvious pick. There isn’t one. It’s about identifying the right fit, trusting your evaluation, and having the conviction to take your guy — even if the rest of the room doesn’t agree. Because in a draft like this, you’re not just picking players — you’re betting on your process.

 

So how do you navigate a class like this? You simplify it. When the board gets messy, when consensus starts to fall apart, when everyone’s arguing over projection — you strip it down to what actually matters.

For me, it starts with one question: did you produce?

Not flashes. Not traits. Not what you might become. What did you actually put on tape, consistently, against real competition? Because traits will get you drafted. Production is what keeps you on the field. That doesn’t mean you ignore measurables — far from it. Size, speed, length, explosiveness… all of it matters. But in a class like this, traits without production become a dangerous game. You start talking yourself into players instead of trusting what you’re seeing. And that’s where teams get in trouble. So the way I look at it is simple: give me the player who checks both boxes. Show me the measurables, and show me the tape to back it up. Because when you find that combination in a class like this? Now you’re not projecting. You’re uncovering.

That’s where the Gems are. You just have to work a little harder to find them.

And that’s where this class tested me.

Because I’ll be honest — finding Gems this year wasn’t easy. Usually, there are a handful of players that jump off the screen right away. Guys you don’t have to squint to see it. The traits match the production, the fit makes sense, and you can stamp it without hesitation. This year? It didn’t come like that.

There were a lot of “almosts.” A lot of players with one piece missing. You’d see the traits, but the production didn’t match. Or the production was there, but you’re left wondering how it translates. Time and time again, it came back to the same phrase:

“That’s a hell of a projection.”

And that forces you to dig deeper. You watch more tape. You revisit games. You start asking tougher questions. Not “what could he be?” but “what is he right now?” Because in a class like this, the difference between a Gem and a reach can be razor thin. I had the usual task of building out the Top 150 annual CHTV Draft Guide, and I’ll tell you right now — that was no small assignment this year. Trying to stack this class with any real level of conviction? That’s a challenge. And come Thursday, there’s a good chance my Top 150 looks damn near nothing as it does on the guide right now. That’s the kind of class this is.

So no — this wasn’t a list that came together overnight. It took work. It took filtering through the noise. And it took sticking to the same principle I always come back to: when the class gets murky, trust what’s real.

Because the Gems are still there. You just have to work a little harder to find them. And in a class like this, that’s exactly what separates a hit from a miss.

So with that said, I’ve got a few Gems from this class that I’m ready to roll out. Not many — this year didn’t give that luxury — but enough to make things interesting. Over the next few days leading up to Thursday, we’ll take a closer look at the prospects who actually check the boxes, who’ve put it on tape, and who might just be worth the bet in a class built on projection.

And if I hit on a few of them, I’ll be sure to let the mock draft gurus know where they can update their boards.

Happy Mining, Packers' Fans. Happy Mining.

 

 

 

 

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Joseph has been an avid fan of the Green Bay Packers since 1997, citing an affinity for dairy products during his childhood and his favorite color, green. Born in Jacksonville, FL, Joseph currently is an Active Duty servicemember in the U.S. Armed Forces. Joseph considers himself a lifelong fan of the game of football, competing since his youth well into adulthood. When it comes to the Pack, Joseph is particularly impassioned about the NFL Draft and collegiate scouting process, and will contribute regularly on CHTV.com leading to that year's upcoming Draft. You can follow him on Twitter at @joeyreyallday.

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Comments (10)

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PhantomII's picture

April 20, 2026 at 05:39 am

A good TE like Kraft would help the OL blocking and catching.....A good DL would help the pass rush and CB's a Vet TE and another Vet DL would be best...but here we are..... These 2 positions will probably help the most overall...and I got a feeling Parsons work with the Edge group will pay dividends and someone steps up there in the pass rush arena....looking for Cooper and Evans , Bullard to take a step in the right direction also....and McKinney to return to form with a better DC.....Not having Watson and Reed coming back from injury to start the season will help GB start faster this season as well as Golden having more touches after Doubs and Wicks leaving.....GPG

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

April 20, 2026 at 05:54 am

I'm eager to see if Parsons' work with Barryn Sorrell, in addition to entering with a year of experience, make him suddenly an impact player. Sorrell's traits were almost identical to Clay Matthews (except Clay's agility was better), and he has a great attitude, so he has the potential to really make a splash this year.

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golfpacker61's picture

April 20, 2026 at 08:01 am

One of the huge perks that comes with getting a player like Parsons is how much he can elevate the players around him. A great example is how badly our CBs were exposed when he got hurt, also because they were not very good. Gary was the biggest disappointment of last year because he failed to have a breakout year when he went on vacation the last 9 games.

What's scary is there is no proven talent on the team behind Parsons. Flashes only from LVN & Cox are all we have. And the rookies had very little chances to show anything. I think if Gabe Jacas or Dani Dennis-Sutton are available @ #52, we almost have to take one of them, fill the Edge hole, and have a player that would start right away. Either would be the #2 Edge behind Parsons and could give us a huge pass rushing boost as well as both being strong run defenders. The only negative is less playing time for the other guys, but isn't the goal to get better & upgrade the players?

I would still sign another vet Edge after the draft, Epenesa or Clowney if available.

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greengold's picture

April 21, 2026 at 02:51 pm

Packers definitely need another sure blocking beast Y TE. No question. There was nowhere to run when Kraft went down.

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PackEyedOptimist's picture

April 20, 2026 at 05:49 am

A very good piece, Joseph! I agree completely!
I'd add, that in addition to the traits/production aspects, INJURIES are a big question mark in this draft. Several of the guys who have both traits and production have major injury questions (Caleb Banks, Connor Lew, etc.) There are also a few with big questions about their personalities and/or off-field antics (I'm a big fan of C Bryce Foster, but people are worried about his commitment, for instance)

I imagine you'll be talking about some of the high-RAS guys Green Bay brought in for their Top-30, like DT Jordan van den Berg, G Josh Gesky, and LB Jaden Dugger.

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golfpacker61's picture

April 20, 2026 at 08:11 am

"I imagine you'll be talking about some of the high-RAS guys Green Bay brought in for their Top-30, like DT Jordan van den Berg, G Josh Gesky, and LB Jaden Dugger." Add in Heilberg the edge rusher too PEO. Dugger is super interesting to me, a solid tackling LB with great speed and he was a safety earlier in his career so he can cover too. Hard to find that combo in the 6th round.

The DTs are a mess with injury history, lack of production, and legal issues. Xzavian Harris is very intriguing, his size and production would normally see him gone 2nd round, but he will fall to 5th or after because of his legal issues. Banks is a 1st round talent all day long but will fall to later day 2 with ongoing foot injuries, if he can't walk he can't play. DT will be very interesting to see where we pull the trigger. Sadly we have about 4 really big needs and not enough early picks to fill them.

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stockholder's picture

April 20, 2026 at 06:16 am

Joseph nice Article.
I think you just turned BPA into a myth.
So let the defensive rebuilding begin.

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Savage57's picture

April 20, 2026 at 07:47 am

The tough part is the amount of ore that needs to be mined to find those gems.

I get draft speculation - it adds an element of involvement and investment in your team and the league in football's dead time.

But even the most ardent draft wonks are like guys with a shovel and a pan, whereas NFL teams are full-on mining operations.

And even their haul is rife with speculation.

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LambeauPlain's picture

April 20, 2026 at 08:06 am

Both Ted and Gutey tend to draft prospects who have solid body of work from college. And one more secret ingredient...Character. They do skew towards players with high work ethics and/or have earned academic honors and/or are team leaders...lead by example on the field and/or are team Captains.

One area Gutey emphasizes more than Ted is RAS. But RAS sans on field results should be avoided. Hoping a prospect will finally "get it" in the pros when he couldn't make the field and produce in college is mostly a fool's hope. Avoid those guys.

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HarryHodag's picture

April 20, 2026 at 09:12 am

Fans often forget a team might like a guy but...ooops! the team drafting in front of them just picked him. On to plan B. Drafting is a lot of science and no small degree luck.

Speaking of Luck, Andrew Luck was a sure fire first round pick and proved it. But to say Mendoza would be the 4th to 6th best other years is really off the mark. Even if the rest of the draft class is below other years, Mendoza is the real deal. All he did was transform the QB position at a school not known for football. Take a look at who Indiana played and his numbers. He was the clear Heisman winner. I see a real star in the making. He will be playing initially with a lousy Raider team but you will see him emerge.

With the Packers drafting low first round most years it's tough to hit on 'wow' players. Also, I don't regret losing a first rounder for Micah Parsons, hurt of not.

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