Could the Fail Mary Happen Again? Sadly, It Could
It may be the second coming of (gulp) replacement officials.
By Kevin Gibson

The NFL is looking into the prospects of recruiting replacement officials.
(Cue groans and low-grade fevers among the Green Bay fan base.)
The NFL officials’ length of contract is easy to overlook in the seemingly never-ending activity in America’s most popular sport. But the bill is coming due – the officials’ collective bargaining agreement expires at the end of May. Yeah, THIS May.
ESPN and other news outlets reported this week that, indeed, the NFL is looking into options for replacement officials should an agreement not be reached in time. This, of course, brings back nightmares for Packers fans, nightmares that date to Sept. 24, 2012.
That date is well known to Green Bay faithful as the evening of the legendary “Fail Mary,” which took place at the hands of, yep, replacement officials. Back then, the league and its officials were butting heads over salary, so as any fully responsible and reasonable sports monolith would do, it looked the NFL Referees Association squarely in the eyes, carefully cleared its throat and confidently said, “Nyaaaaaah!” And then it hired a bunch of low-level college officials to pick up the mantle before the season started.
That’ll show ’em.
Amidst complaints aplenty around the league, the NFL carried on with its ill-conceived plot that, let’s face it, was probably inspired by a rerun of “Two Broke Girls” given its complete lack of nuance or complexity. (Although, unlike the TV show, at least the NFL’s immaturity was kind of funny. Well, at first.)
Packers fans all know how this turned out. On the final play of regulation in the Week 3 game, with the Packers leading 12-7, Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson launched a 24-yard moon ball into the back left corner of the end zone to Golden Tate.
The receiver was surrounded by Packers, and safety M.D. Jennings went up, over Tate, and pulled the ball down. Tate reached his hands in on the way to the ground, and it appeared to end in what in basketball would be termed a held ball. One of the faux officials ruled it an interception, which would have resulted in a Packers victory. The other imposter on the scene threw his hands in the air to signal a Seahawks touchdown. His call was the one that stuck. 14-12 Seattle.
Look, if you believe touchdown was the right call on that play, that’s fine. To each their own. But the scene, regardless, was a full-blown fiasco that dominated the NFL news cycle that week. Just days later, the league and the NFLRA came to a collective bargaining agreement.
Yeah, because that will erase the embarrassing folly, dolts. Well done.
And now it appears quite possible another NFLRA lockout or holdout is on the horizon. Oh boy. Hey, it’s been over a decade – surely everyone involved has matured, right? Right???
On average, an NFL official makes just over $200,000 per season. One could say they are pretty well paid given the sheer amount of missed calls in pretty much any given week of play. (I suspect they eat a helluva lot more crablegs and sushi than I do.) At the same time, for a league literally worth billions of dollars, and with profits ever on the rise, are the powers that be really going to low-ball these people? Is that the plan? To be cheap? It sounds like another “Nyaaah” is building up in the back of the NFL’s deep, deep throat.
The NFL was silent when ESPN asked for a comment on the situation. Uh-oh. NFLRA executive director Scott Green said the prospect of replacement refs raises two potential issues. One of those is that, with gambling fully ingrained in the NFL experience now, what happens to the poor saps who gamble away their rent on a game that is decided by an awful call by some guy who normally officiates Towson State games? Another is that such replacements would walk into a situation where they have no experience with the size and speed of the NFL. That could lead to more of what happened in 2012.
"Frankly," Green told ESPN, "I'm surprised they would even consider it after 2012."
Hey! Reason and logic? Count me IN.
This isn’t all about money – word is the NFL wants more control and accountability, and the refs don’t want to be, for lack of a better term, micro-managed. Personally, this feels like just a feeble threat by the NFL to try and gain leverage, nothing more. I may be wrong, but the prospect of another Fail Mary is too much for my poor brain to comprehend. Hell, I still get a little pissed off when I conjure that malignant Monday night memory.
But if it does happen again, can it please happen to a different team this time? As a Packers fan, I feel like we’ve suffered enough at the hands of this nonsense. Put on your favorite striped shirt and pass the crablegs, I guess. It could be a long couple of months while we watch this silliness unfold.
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Kevin Gibson is a professional writer and author based in Louisville, Ky. He's also a former sports writer who covered high school, college and professional sports, a Packers shareholder and a fan since 1975. Even John Hadl couldn't break him. Follow him on Twitter: @kgramone
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Comments (23)
TKWorldWide
March 20, 2026 at 06:42 am
So I ain’t no financial genius, but I did sleep at a Holiday Inn recently.
So how about this: by what % have revenues increased since the refs’ last contract? Why not offer that same % to the refs?
PS I haven’t overdrawn any of my (meager) accounts even once since graduation. So I’ve got that going for me, which is nice.
dblbogey
March 20, 2026 at 08:48 pm
Refs make $205,000- $250,000 year. they have 401 K's as well. On top of that, most make even more at their "real" jobs. If I was as mediocre as the NFL refs are, I wouldn't be demanding even more money.
Vachio
March 20, 2026 at 07:22 am
One thing life has taught me several times is NEVER discount in the influence ego has on those in positions of power and authority. They can't possibly be that stupid and petty, right? When it comes to stroking their egos, they damn sure can. Rest assured that if this comes down to a dick swinging match, Goodell is going to do whatever he has to to prove he has the bigger dick. If it damages the game in the short term and screws over a team or two, that's a price he's willing to pay so long as the world knows who has the bigger dick.
BuckyBadger
March 20, 2026 at 07:59 am
Goodell doesn't do anything without the consent of the owners. People think he is the one with power and he is just a mouth piece so the owners don't hate them.
dblbogey
March 20, 2026 at 08:43 pm
I believe the main influence in NFL decisions is how can we make even more money. I've paid for the Sunday ticket for several years but I'm done with them. You now need to subscribe to 4 different services on top of Sunday Ticket if you want to watch some of the games.
egbertsouse
March 20, 2026 at 07:30 am
We all know who has the biggest one, Jerrah Jones. At least, according to him.
egbertsouse
March 20, 2026 at 07:35 am
Give them a raise. Make them full-time, professional refs; no more lawyers and insurance executives. Create minimum standards of performance and put procedures in place to hold them accountable. Replace those who fail to meet the minimum standards.
BuckyBadger
March 20, 2026 at 07:57 am
You wouldn't be making many of them full time refs, it would be a new set of refs. Many of the guys who do it now aren't going to leave their day jobs.
BuckyBadger
March 20, 2026 at 07:56 am
Its about money. It is always about money and when they say it isn't about money it is really about the money.
Far too early to get worried about this. It is all posturing for the negotiations. We are still playing basketball and we are going to worry about this? The spring league hasn't even kicked off yet.
Cheezehead72
March 20, 2026 at 07:56 am
The morning after the Fail Mary I made the prediction that there would be an agreement and the officials would be back to work the next weekend after reading how much money was lost in Vagas because of that call. This was before the proliferation of on line betting. Not sure if that was the reason but I bet the betting world had the most influence on the decision.
BuckyBadger
March 20, 2026 at 07:58 am
It had nothing to do with the betting world and everything to do with incompetence.
mrtundra
March 20, 2026 at 08:28 am
It is bad enough, when the refs inserted themselves into a game, at inopportune moments, for one team, but was just what the opposing team needed, etc.. Now, with replacement refs, some of whom want to be the "star of the show," getting to decide the outcome of a game--ala the Fail Mary game. Time for the League to pay up. Even with refs getting their due diligence, there are officiating crews that are out of control, during games. Look at Hochuli and his crew. It seems they, at times(whenever the clock is running), may have a beef with the Packers. Every thing gets scrutinized to the Nth degree. Inconsistency in officiating, has cost many a team a victory, that should have been theirs-- Rice fumbled the ball! MD Jennings intercepted that pass!, etc.
Cheezehead72
March 20, 2026 at 08:29 am
NFL officials make more than 200k per year. If you compare it to MLB, NBA, and NHL they are making more per game officiated. They make about twice as much per game than NBA and NHL and more than twice as much than MLB officials.
Guam
March 20, 2026 at 08:29 am
You would think NFL referees would be full time employees of the league with extensive training and development. The job should be too important to be entrusted to part time employees with limited oversight. And paid well enough by a league flush with cash and wealth to be immune to the temptations of gambling influence. And yet the English Premier League (soccer), which has just as much prestige, cash and wealth as the NFL, uses exactly the same referee model as the NFL - part time employees.
Management usually wants to have control over important elements of their responsibilities as this allows more opportunities for quality control and consistent performance. And yet the two most powerful leagues in the world use part time referees over whom they have only nominal training and development control. I would love to understand the logic behind this but I don't.
As for the costs of referees - assuming the $200,000 per referee number is accurate; and the referee benefits package runs about 40% of the base salary; and that the NFL uses a seven person referee crew for each game plus one reserve referee in case of injury (i.e. eight refs per game); and the NFL needs 16 crews of referees to handle the full slate of weekly game - the total annual costs would be (8 x $200,000 + 8 x $200,000 x .4) x 16 = $35,840,000 annually.
For the price of one starting QB's annual salary (about $36MM) the NFL gets all their games officiated. Small money for an organization of the size and scope of the NFL. And yet they prefer part time employees who don't have year-round training and development (unlike their coaches and players) to control their game. I must be missing something.........
BuckyBadger
March 20, 2026 at 08:44 am
Are we sure having full time refs would solve anything? I think the issue is with the constant revolving rule book that is far too complex. Ever read that thing? It is almost impossible to apply to the real game. They change the rules every year or have them stress different rules every year. The game moves extremely fast and there are infractions on every play. I know they are the easy target for every couch QB but I think they do a pretty good job over all. Instant replay needs fixing but that isn't the fault of the refs.
They do have off season training and drill work they have to attend. They hold several conferences a year to go over what the league will demand of them and go over film of the previous years. They aren't just punching in on Sunday and working 20-25 days a year.
Guam
March 20, 2026 at 09:31 am
I think your first paragraph just made the case for having full time referees. You are correct that the rulebook is complicated and the game moves at high speed - so why entrust the officiating to people who don't focus on it full time? By definition a part time employee has other interests and likely other employment to focus on. Why not have a full time employee that is fully focused on refereeing and only refereeing? It certainly won't make the officiating worse and may improve it.
I do think refs do a decent job now, but there is room for improvement. At a $200,000 plus annual salary, you can attract high caliber individuals and train them year around. I don't think the end result would be worse than it is now and likely would show improvement. And the total cost to the league is small money compared to player and coaching costs. So why not move to full time referees?
Coldworld
March 20, 2026 at 08:44 am
The full time officiating has been a source of frustration and incompetency. The last time they used back ups it led to a complete farce: the fail Mary was a spectacular illustration but hardly an isolated instance.
The NFL is more interested in spectacle than sport. It’s long past due for them to take officiating more seriously. That starts by paying professionals and then, having truly incentivized? rigorously thinning those who don’t live up to standards not rewarding mere longevity. It cuts both ways, but it starts with a professional pay and conditions package. No sympathy for the league. This is entirely of their own making by ignoring officiating quality and compensation for decades.
BuckyBadger
March 20, 2026 at 08:51 am
If they have full time refs they will also come with a union that will protect them the exact things you want them held accountable for, incompetence. They will need their own CBA that again will probably give them more protections than transparency.
I know many think that full time refs mean the league has more control over them but that isn't really the case. Part time employees have less protections under our laws than full time ones.
Cheezehead72
March 20, 2026 at 09:19 am
They already have a union its called the NFL Referees Association and Collective Bargaining Aggreement. That is why this is happening.
LambeauPlain
March 20, 2026 at 10:23 am
Yes. And it is a very powerful union. They have successfully maintained their current "dead period" and the ability to resist performance-based pay models. The NFL Officiating Department oversees the hiring and firing of officials but they are hand in glove with the Union.
Guam
March 20, 2026 at 09:39 am
It is less about control and more about time, focus and training. Full time employees can get more training and have officiating as their only focus unlike the part timers who have other employment interests and other training to do.
Ferrari-Driver
March 20, 2026 at 09:58 am
I attended the Fail Mary game and unknowingly at the time had the DISPLEASURE of having Lance Easley sit across the aisle from me on the flight out from California. I don't recall what I was wearing, but it was likely something showing I was a Packers' fan and he started up a conversation. He told me he was going to be an official for the game at Lambeau. He dominated the conversation telling how he was a star football, basketball, baseball, and that he got an injury that prevented him from being a professional. He said he had been a referee at the college level for years and that the NFL has recruited him for this game. I am pleased to say on my long flight back to California that I did not have Mr. Easley sitting next to me or across the aisle or I would have been dominating the conversation and it wouldn't have been a pleasant one.
LambeauPlain
March 20, 2026 at 10:28 am
The Officials Union has two feared letters in the negotiations with the NFL that can, and will change everything: AI.
And the rapid speed at which AI is being developed and adopted will be the "replacement officiating" one day soon. If I was the NFL, I would not agree to a very long collective bargaining agreement.